A betting look at the EPL
EPL betting analysis & comparison breakdown
By Matt Pitt
Arsenal (-300) vs. West Bromwich Albion (+750)
Arsenal go into their home clash with West Bromwich Albion on the back of two straight defeats, defeats where they were a goal to the good before going on to lose. Those losses have seen Arsenal fall to fourth in the league and they are now some nine points behind leaders Chelsea.
West Brom were many people’s tips to struggle in a relegation battle this season, but they currently reside in eighth place in the Premier League. Tony Pullis has managed to work wonders with a limited budget and a squad that definitely isn’t strong enough for the top half of the table.
Arsenal, the Gunners, are -300 favorites and should be far too strong for West Brom. They are unbeaten at home in seven games and have the third-best attack in the league when on home soil.
The Baggies may have a solid defence on their travels, but they have only managed to secure one point from a possible 21 against teams in the top half of the table this season. West Brom do have the firepower and the +280 on Salomon Rondon scoring at any time looks a decent bet as his physicality is something Arsenal’s defence won’t be looking forward to facing.
Pick: Arsenal to win and both teams to score at +175
Manchester United (-475) vs. Sunderland (+1200)
After a stuttering start, Manchester United are starting to look like a good team once again and go into their game against Sunderland on an unbeaten run of eight consecutive games, while Sunderland have lost their last two away fixtures.
United won this fixture 3-0 last season and I wouldn’t be surprised at a similar score line this time around; Bovada price this score at +550, which is the second shortest price after 2-0 at +450. However, only two of United’s home games have trigged the over 2.5 goals market so 2-0 is probably the most likely score.
If you’re looking at the goal scorer market look no further than Zlatan Ibrahimovic who has scored seven goals in his past six league games and is -130 to score at any time and +275 to open the scoring.
Pick: Manchester United to win 2-0 at +450
Chelsea (-280) vs. Bournemouth (+700)
Chelsea have won their previous 11 league games and should make it 12 in a row after the visit of Bournemouth to Stamford Bridge. The Blues lost corresponding fixture last season 1-0 but there is little danger of that happening this campaign as they are a team who look unstoppable right now.
In Chelsea’s last 10 league games, they have scored 23 goals and only conceded two goals, which is phenomenal considering they have faced the likes of Manchester United, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur during that run.
Bournemouth have impressed this season yet they have been inconsistent, particularly on the road where they have only won one of their eight games, drawing two and losing five. I really cannot see them improving this record this week.
Chelsea are +550 to win 2-0 and +700 to win both 2-1 or 3-0. Bournemouth do have some dangerous forwards but they simply are not good enough to trouble Chelsea’s back three, especially when N’Golo Kante is bossing the midfield, too.
Pick: Chelsea to win 2-0 at +550
Other Match Day 18 Fixtures
Watford (+140) vs. Crystal Palace (+200)
Leicester City (+145) vs. Everton (+185)
Swansea City (+160) vs. West Ham United (+175)
Burnley (+195) vs. Middlesbrough (+155)
Hull City (+750) vs. Manchester City (-305)
Liverpool (-350) vs. Stoke City (+850)
Southampton (+185) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (+155)
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