Week 10 NFL Betting Lines Analysis
NFL Betting Tips For Week 10
By Dan Favale
Out of the 14 NFL games that will take place this week, there isn’t one that’s beyond a sure thing. This slate of tilts is a minefield of tough lines. We’re here to help you navigate it, offering our picks for four of these super-difficult contests. As always, our game lines come via Real Bet, so be sure to double-check all the information before you place any wagers, as NFL game lines are prone to change.
Tennessee Titans (+2.5) vs. Green Bay Packers (-2.5) Over/Under: 50
Is it time to panic about the Green Bay Packers? Quarterback Aaron Rodgers essentially called out his teammates following a loss to the Indianapolis Colts last week, and the defense is threatening to drop inside the bottom 10 of points allowed per game.
The Tennessee Titans, meanwhile, are firing on all cylinders on the offensive side. They have topped 25 points in each of their past five games, three of them wins, and quarterback Marcus Mariota has been a stat-hoarding stud. Still, the Packers, while clearly not legitimate Super Bowl contenders, are forever threats to pop.
The offense has been dealing with injuries and serial sleepwalking, and yet it still ranks 11th in points scored per week. All signs point to this game becoming a shootout, and as bad as the Packers have been, they’re still built to win such affairs.
The Pick: Green Bay Packers, over
New York Giants (-2) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (+2) Over/Under: 47
Here is why there is hope for the New York Giants in every game they play from here on out: The defense is for real.
New York ranks 10th in points allowed per game, which means it should be able to feast against the Cincinnati Bengals, a unit that’s flirting with a bottom-10 offensive finish. Better still, for our purposes anyway, the Giants’ offense has been maddeningly inefficient.
The offensive line doesn’t give quarterback Eli Manning enough time, and they have absolutely no ground game. But Manning has looked more comfortable being out of sorts behind his porous O-line in recent weeks.
He is making quicker decisions, and his deep well of wideouts, headlined by Odell Beckham Jr., know by now they must run their routes and reach their intended spots on the field in much quicker fashion.
Basically, the Giants’ offense, which admittedly ranks 24th in points scored per game, is inevitably going to be a strength. And that two-way potential is enough to give them a decided edge over a surprisingly disappointing Bengals faction.
The Pick: New York Giants (-2), under
San Diego Chargers (-4) vs. Miami Dolphins (+4)
Although the Miami Dolphins have won three straight games over quality opponents, it’s difficult to pick against the San Diego Chargers in this one.
Not only are they at home, but they currently have a top-three offense. The Dolphins don’t have the defense to impede the Chargers’ all-out air assault, and Miami’s offense is middling, if bad, enough through the air that San Diego’s bottom-seven defense won’t be a detriment.
Philip Rivers remains great at adjusting to whatever defensive schemes he’s facing, so expect the Chargers to work the backfield passing game against a Dolphins team that isn’t especially adept at defending it. Some of his receivers should get in serious work, too.
Yes, this game might be close. But a four-point spread should be doable for Rivers and the Chargers’ offense.
The Pick: San Diego Chargers, Over
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) Over/Under: 50
Go big or go home here.
Yes, the Dallas Cowboys are tied with the New England Patriots for the best record in the NFL. Yes, they rank inside the top four of both points scored and points allowed per game. And yes, the Pittsburgh Steelers have been average-to-worse in the face of injuries.
Even with all that said, it’s time to pick against Dallas.
Only one of the Cowboys’ wins this season has come over an opponent who is currently above .500. The Steelers, at 4-4, don’t qualify as a winning team, but with Ben Roethlisberger back to playing under center, they deserve to be treated as much.
This is a problem for a Cowboys squad that, statistically, has played through one of the easiest schedules in the league. No one is saying they’ll get blown out, or that they’re not a good football team. But this is a test unlike any other the Cowboys have faced, and it would be irresponsible to treat them as favorites in such a game, when they, despite their record, haven’t quite earned it yet.
The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5), over
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