Week 16 NFL wagering advice
How to win your week 16 bets
By Angelo Montilla
Here are a few NFL Week 16 betting options to consider, with odds courtesy of Bet365.
Green Bay Packers (-294) vs. Minnesota Vikings (+235)
A few weeks ago, the Packers were on their way to missing the post-season for the second consecutive season. On Sunday, the Packers could inch closer to a NFC North crown with a victory over the visiting Minnesota Vikings.
The Packers — winners of five straight games — enter Sunday’s matinee matchup as -294 favorites at Lambeau Field, where they’ve posted an impressive 5-2 record. The Vikings opened the 2016 campaign with such promise but a mid-season slump took them out of the playoff race. Losers of seven of the last nine games, the Vikings enter the second last game of the season as +235 underdogs.
Aaron Rodgers has been spectacular during Green Bay’s playoff run, ranking sixth in the NFL in passing yards and second overall with 32 TD passes. Lacking a run game, Rodgers has been forced to throw the ball more than ever and most of those passes have been to No. 1 target Jordy Nelson, who leads the Packers with 1,037 receiving yards heading into Sunday’s contest.
If you’re tracking the head-to-head history between these two clubs, you’ll notice the Packers hold the advantage with six wins over the last 10 meetings. It’s also important to note the Vikings have won the last two games, including a 17-14 win earlier this season.
If you’re betting the over/under, the projected total points has been set at 43, but expect this to be a low-scoring affair in chilly Lambeau Field conditions.
Pick: Green Bay Packers (-294) and the Under (43)
Buffalo Bills (-192) vs. Miami Dolphins (+167)
There’s a glimmer of hope — a very small one — for the Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs this season. The Bills are still mathematically in the hunt for an AFC wild-card and they’ll look to keep those hopes alive on Sunday when they host the Miami Dolphins at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
The Bills, who have won three of their last five games, enter Sunday’s match as -192 money line favorites. The Dolphins can move closer to a post-season berth — its first since 2008 — with a victory on Sunday. Miami head to Buffalo as enticing +167 underdogs.
The Bills are only still in a playoff hunt because of star running back LeSean McCoy, who is fifth overall in rushing with 1,129 yards to go along with 12 touchdowns. Shady is also averaging 86.8 yards per game, which ranks fourth among running backs in the NFL.
The Bills’ defense won’t be taxed against a Dolphins team only producing a eighth-worst 325 yards per game.
Head-to-head, the Bills have defeated the Dolphins six times over the last 10 games.
Betting the over/under? Bet365 set the total points projection at 41.5, a mark these division rivals should cover.
Pick: Buffalo Bills (-192) and the Over (41.5)
Kansas City Chiefs (-175) vs. Denver Broncos (+155)
The Denver Broncos can join an elite list of teams to win a Super Bowl title and miss the post-season the following year. The Broncos will try to remain in the playoff hunt on Sunday when they travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs in a highly-anticipated AFC West showdown.
The Chiefs, coming off a loss that dropped them to second in the division, enter the Christmas Day matchup as -175 favorites at Arrowhead Stadium, where the club has only lost twice this season. The Broncos picked the worst time to come off back-to-back games as the team sits out of the playoff picture looking in. Denver visits Kansas City as enticing +155 underdogs.
The Broncos will again look to rely on their second-ranked defense to stop the Chiefs. Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith will have his hands full against Denver’s No. 1 pass defense, which is allowing 183 yards per game in the air. The issue for the Broncos has been on offense as the club has produced 299 points in 2016, ranking 21st in the league.
Watch for both Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders to be factors in Denver’s offense on Sunday in a must-win game.
If you’re betting the point spread, consider taking the Broncos at +3.
Pick: Denver Broncos (+155) and (+3)
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