Dan Favale | Fri 06/09/2019 - 05:05 EDT

UFC 242 Betting Odds: Khabib vs. Poirier Headlines a Stacked Fight Card

UFC 242 Betting Odds: Khabib vs. Poirier Headlines a Stacked Fight Card
The lightweight title will be on the line at UFC 242 when Khabib “The Eagle” Nurmagomedov and Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier take to the Octagon. They're not the only big names squaring off, though. UFC 242 has mission-critical fights galore. Let's parse them all for the best possible bets.

Here are the latest UFC 242 odds for the main event featuring Khabib Nurmagomedov and Dustin Poirier, courtesy of the folks over at Bovada:

  • Khabib Nurmagomedov (-500)
  • Dustin Poirier (+350)

UFC’s Vegas odds will always change, so be sure you confirmed these lines before placing a bet. We’ve got you covered everywhere else. We’ve analyzed the fighters and matchups and are ready to make our own UFC picks to help you make some money:

  • Latest UFC odds
  • Analysis of Khabib vs. Poirier
  • Overview of other important matchups
  • UFC 242 picks
  • More!

UFC 242 Betting Breakdown

Khabib Nurmagomedov (-500) vs. Dustin Poirier (+350)

Let’s begin with the main event like always. Oddsmakers have deemed Khabib Nurmagomedov the overwhelming favorite. And their logic isn’t hard to justify.

In what will be his second title defense, Nurmagomedov enters with a perfect 27-0 record. He is among the quickest fighters in the sport and possesses a unique capacity to devastate opponents with his takedowns.

Granted, Dustin Poirier is no slouch. He has won each of his last six fights and nabbed the interim title by defeating Max Holloway at UFC 236 in April while Nurmagomedov was out on suspension. Poirier is equal parts calm and precise. His offense is surgical, but he is quick and accurate when completing combination jabs.

Some still won’t expect this match to be close. The line has already started to move further in Nurmagomedov’s direction. Poirier opened at most sportsbooks around +350. We believe he’s being undervalued. And yet, we’re not quite keen on predicting an upset. But this is a fight that should go the distance and come down to a tighter than expected decision.

OSB Prediction: Khabib Nurmagomedov (-435)

Edson Barboza (-160) vs. Paul Felder (+130)

Color us skeptical about Edson Barboza’s line. He’s not quite an insurmountable favorite, but laying less than even money implies that he has the decided advantage. That’s not a sentiment we’re ready to buy.

Barboza has dropped three of his past four fights, the most recent of which was a first-round knockout loss to Justin Gaethje this past March. He packs absurd power, particularly with his kicks, but he plays offense in a defensive manner, usually waiting for his opponent’s attacks to leave hm with an opening to go for the lower body.

Good luck getting that to work against Paul Felder. He is extremely aggressive, so he’ll give Barboza the opportunity to wait him out, but he’s not especially mistake-riddled. Felder’s elbow combinations have derailed many a fighter and set him up nicely for a lot of early-round knockouts. We like him to pull off the slight upset.

OSB Prediction: Paul Felder (+130)

Islam Makhachev (-360) vs. Davi Ramos (+270)

Both Islam Makhachev and Davi Ramos will be looking to extend hot streaks when they meet at UFC 242. Bet on Makhachev being the victorious one.

The Russia native is on quite the tear and continues to elevate himself within the UFC hierarchy. He has won each of his past five fights by employing a takedown-heavy style that seldom betrays him. Relying on so many wrestling moves can be a hindrance for some, but Makhachev is an expert operator in close quarters.

It’s possible that Ramos won’t go away as easily as most think. He’s working off a four-fight winning streak himself, and his blend of patience and stamina in the Octagon could prove to be a problem for Makhachev, who secures many of his takedowns when his opponent is playing the aggressor.

That’s still not enough for us to bank on the upset. Makhachev is a fast-rising UFC star. Expect his ascent to continue versus Ramos.

OSB Prediction: Islam Makhachev (-360)

Curtis Blaydes (-500) vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov (+350)

Talk about your large swings since the opening line. Though Curtis Blaydes has always been the heavyish favorite here, Shamil Abdurakhimov began as a +225 underdog. His current line represents a turbulent shift.

That movement might have something to do with rising perception of Blaydes. He has always been considered a solid all-around fighter, but his vertical, on-his-feet performance has really improved in recent fights. His growing ability to create takedown opportunities has served him well of late, including during his victory over Justin Willis this past March.

To say Abdurakhimov doesn’t have a puncher’s chance would be a stretch. He is light on his feet and incredibly elusive. At the same time, he is 37 and gives up a noticeable power advantage. 

OSB Prediction: Curtis Blaydes (-500)

Mairbek Taisumov (-285) vs. Diego Ferreira (+225)

Oddsmakers are gradually warming up to Diego Ferriera. He was laying worse than a +300 to open and has since crept closer to +200.

Whether that means anything for Mairbek Taisumov isn’t quite clear. His combination of waiting out his opponents and his explosion on the most traditional punches matches up well with Ferreira on paper. A lot of analysts are predicting Taisumov will win by knockout.

Allow us to be one of the exceptions. Ferreira isn’t the most powerful or accurate fighter, but he is a try-hard. He will keep coming at you and crowding you, and he is not incapable of dodging Taisumov’s quick-hitting combos.

It also helps that Taisumov is coming off a longer-than-normal hiatus. He has shown he can thrive after an extended layover before, but Ferriera’s four-fight winning streak and sheer volume of strike attempts per minute has us smitten.

OSB Prediction: Diego Ferreira (+225)

Check out this list of the best online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for your UFC 242 betting:

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