Euro 2016: Gameday 10 Preview
Euro 2016 Betting Lines & Insight
By Matt Pitt
Switzerland (+400) versus France (-105)
Switzerland take on France in Lille in their final group game of Euro 2016 knowing a draw would secure second place and a guaranteed place in the knockout stages.
The Swiss have four points from two games having beaten Albania 1-0 and followed that up with a hard-fought draw against Romania four days later. If you fancy Switzerland to get the point they need to qualify, you can find odds of around +210.
France are already through to the next round thanks to winning both of their games so far, even if they have been far from convincing in those matches.
Their 2-1 win over Romania came courtesy of an 89th minute goal by Dimitri Payet, with their 2-0 victory over Albania coming from goals in the 90th and 96th minute by Antoine Griezmann and that man Payet.
France dominated the show against Albania and had 22 shots on goal, but only two of those were on target – the goals. The French need to be more ruthless in front of goal if they are to justify being the tournament favorites.
It’s a difficult game to predict because I have a feeling that France may rest a couple of key players, or bring them off at half-time in order to keep them fresh for the knockout stages. Likewise, Switzerland know a point is enough to secure qualification, so I’m going to opt for the draw at +210 with either 0-0 (+750) or 1-1 (+550) being the result.
Pick: Draw (+210)
Romania (+115) versus Albania (+240)
Romania know that a draw against bottom side Albania is unlikely to be enough to secure qualification from Group A so should be going all out for the win and three points in their final match of the group stages.
If Romania win and Switzerland lose against France, Romania would secure second place in Group A and progress. Even if they win and Switzerland draw or win, Romania could still go through as the best third-placed side in the tournament.
For these reasons, I think the +115 on Romania beating Albania is an absolute steal. While it is true that Albania will likely put 10 men behind the ball, and Romania will struggle to break them down, Romania have to win and that will more than spur them on.
Plus, we need to factor in that although Albania have nothing really to play for, a win for them could be enough for the best third-placed team if results from other groups go their way. This means that instead of being defensive, they will have to attack, leaving themselves open to Romania’s counterattacks.
Both teams to score is currently -137 with both teams to score and Romania to win at an attractive +320, which is where my money will be going in this fixture.