Online MLS Free Betting Tips
Take Houston and NYFC this weekend
We’ve got three more betting tips for you ahead of the weekend of Major League Soccer fixtures, so let’s get to it.
First up we’ve got the two massive weekend derbies. Houston Dynamo host FC Dallas on Saturday just before New York Red Bulls pay the same favor to New York City FC.
Both of these derbies will be emotional affairs, and are made all the more so by the teams’ position in their respective conference tables.
FC Dallas enjoys a game in hand over Houston, but ahead of their match they are tied on 24 points for the season. What’s more, the two teams have identical records over the previous six matches — and they aren’t pretty.
Both clubs have won only once over that time span while also suffering three losses and two draws — including one 0-0 against each other less than a month ago. To add to the uncanniness, both wins the teams earned were decided by four-goal margins, and both came against Real Salt Lake.
So how do you distinguish between these two teams? It comes down to one of the most basic factors considered when forming a betting line: home team advantage.
Houston are unbeaten at home at BBVA Compass Stadium, with only one draw among those results. FC Dallas, in contrast, have won only two of their seven away matches in the league. Expect Houston to sustain their record and climb above their rivals in the Western Conference. Bovada supports this tip, with Houston at -165 compared to Dallas at +135.
The Red Bulls bested their upstart local rivals only narrowly in the Eastern Conference last regular season, finishing with just a three-point advantage. Thus far this term, though, they are constantly playing catch up against Patrick Vieira’s side. Saturday will be the first opportunity they have had this season to narrow the gap between their local rivals.
Fans of the Red Bulls might be encouraged by their sides’ home record: only one loss in eleven matches. That is just about the full extent of how the math favors Red Bulls chances though.
While Bradely Wright-Philips remains a reliable goalscorer, he is just about the only one Red Bulls have. The Englishman is responsible for eight of the club’s 17 goals this season. That total goal tally is the second worse in the Eastern Conference, only made to look slightly more respectable by the 12 mustered by a truly abysmal DC United.
New York City FC, in contrast, are the second best in the conference with 27 goals scored — and David Villa will be in full spirit after scoring both goals in last week’s 2-1 win over Seattle Sounders. While their away record is a tad spotty, NYCFC should have enough firepower and desire to best Red Bulls on Saturday night. Expect Bovada’s lines of -215 for NYCFC and +175 to bear out in reality.
Finally, let’s turn to perhaps the most entertaining team currently plying their trade in the MLS: Atlanta United. The expansion team aren’t quite burning barns this season, but their potent offense and under-construction defense lead to some of the wildest and least predictable matches in the league.
Fresh off a 2-1 loss to a terrible DC United side on Wednesday, one might expect Atlanta to continue to stumble when they host Colorado Rapids on Sunday. That assessment fails to account for the topsy-turvy, seesaw inaugural season Atlanta have both triumphed and suffered through.
Just last weekend Atlanta overcame Columbus Crew in a 3-1 win that narrowed the gap for the Eastern Conference playoff spots. It was a fluid, devastating win that proved for the umpteenth time this season that Atlanta are more than their record suggests.
Colorado, currently residing at the bottom of the Western Conference, should be scared. Atlanta will want to bounce back with a win, and with Josef Martinez nearing full recovery will have the means to get it. Expect Bovada’s line of +130 to Atlanta and -160 to Colorado to be defied.More articles...