Gary | Wed 12/04/2017 - 11:22 EDT

Over NBA Bets On Wednesday

Over NBA Bets On Wednesday
The final day of the NBA's regular season is upon us! This is your last chance to capitalize on a slate including more than three games. And wouldn't you know it, the NBA has laid out 10 for you to bet on. We pick our favorite over/under picks for you using TopBet's lines.

NBA Betting Lines Analytics

By Dan Favale

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets

Over/Under: 226.5

rockets

Placing any kind of bets at the end of the NBA’s regular season is hard. Some teams have playoff positioning to play for. Others are tanking—attempting to actively lose. And some teams don’t have anything to play for at all.

Both the Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves fall under this umbrella. The Timberwolves can improve their lottery odds ever so slightly, but Tom Thibodeau isn’t one to let his troops tank. And while James Harden can perhaps make one final statement in the NBA’s MVP race, his argument, for all intents and purposes, is set—just like the Rockets’ postseason matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Ergo, this game lacks meaning, and it will probably be ugly. Stingy defense shouldn’t prevail, but Rockets coach Mike D’Antoni shouldn’t be playing his main guys 30-plus minutes either.

The idea that this game will hit 227 total points, when neither side has nothing to play for, feels like a stretch.

The Pick: Under 226.5

 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets 

Over/Under: 224.5

Like the above game, this one doesn’t hold any real purpose. The Denver Nuggets have already been eliminated from playoff contention, while the Thunder are locked into the Western Conference’s six-seed.

Russell Westbrook is expected to play, and the Nuggets have the best offense in the NBA since Dec. 15, in terms of points scored per 100 possessions, but not one of these teams will be operating at full strength by the fourth quarter. Oklahoma City will be judicial with minutes for its starters, and Nuggets head coach Mike Malone has already committed to playing all the younger guys over everyone else.

Again, this isn’t going to turn into a booming defensive affair, but the absence of stakes makes it unlikely either Denver or Oklahoma City is going to be at the tops of its offensive game.

The Pick: Under 224.5

 

Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards

Over/Under: 206.5

This matchup between the Miami Heat and Washington Wizards actually has meaning…for the Heat.

Though the Heat do not control their own playoff fate, they do need to win to have a puncher’s chance at getting in. From there, they need one or both of the Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls to lose. So you can expect them to be trying their hardest, just as they have done since the middle of January, when they began tearing up the lead.

The Wizards are a different story. They are locked into the Eastern Conference’s four-seed. There’s no guarantee head coach Scott Brooks plays John Wall, Bradley Beal and Otto Porter. And if he doesn’t play Porter—or, for that matter, Markieff Morris—the defense will implode.

At the same time, the defense has been pretty bad at full strength for the last few weeks. The starting lineup is getting pummeled, and while the Wizards now have a few extra bodies on the bench, Ian Mahinmi is the closest they come to having a defensive stopper. And he isn’t expected to play.

Plus, on top of that, each of the three previous matchups between these two teams have soarded above 207 total points.

The Pick: Over 206.5

 

Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under: 201.5

odds

There is plenty at stake for the Pacers in this one. If they lose, their playoff fate is out of their hands. So they’ll need to win.

The Atlanta Hawks, by comparison, are locked into the East’s five-seed. If they throw out their best players for more than spot minutes, it’ll be a genuine shock.

Still, on the season, the Pacers post a top-10 home defense. The Hawks, meanwhile, are second in the league in points allowed per 100 possessions on the road. Bake in a pair of offensive systems that haven’t yielded great results all year, and there’s a better than good chance this game fails to hit the over.

The Pick: Under 201.5

StandingsNBA

Leave a comment
More articles...
Sports - 16/09/19
2019-20 NHL Betting Preview: Best Teams, Odds, Stanley Cup Predictions 
Last year the St. Louis Blues stole the NHL's show, winning their first Stanley Cup in franchise history. Though they certainly factor into the title race this season, other contenders loom, most notably the Tampa Bay Lightning, Toronto Maple Leafs, Vegas Golden Knights and Boston Bruins. Which team is your smartest bet? Let's figure that out.
Read this article 
Sports - 09/09/19
2019-20 Champions League Preview: Betting Odds, Best Sportsbook Values, Predictions 
Welcome back, Champions League! The 2019-20 season is finally here, and everyone who's anyone is asking the same question: Which team will be crowned above all at year's end? Many believe that Liverpool is primed to repeat as the ultimate champion, but other powerhouses like Manchester City, Barcelona and Real Madrid loom. Let's find the clubs laying the best betting value, shall we?
Read this article 
Sports - 06/09/19
UFC 242 Betting Odds: Khabib vs. Poirier Headlines a Stacked Fight Card 
The lightweight title will be on the line at UFC 242 when Khabib “The Eagle” Nurmagomedov and Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier take to the Octagon. They're not the only big names squaring off, though. UFC 242 has mission-critical fights galore. Let's parse them all for the best possible bets.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 22/08/19
US Open 2019 Betting Odds: Can Naomi Osaka, Novak Djokovic Defend Their Crowns? 
The world's best tennis players are once again headed to New York! That's right: The 2019 US Open is upon us, and it remains littered with rock-solid betting opportunities. Last year's champions, Novak Djokovic and Naomi Osaka, enter as No. 1 seeds in their field. Will they repeat as champs? Let's parse the betting field!
Read this article